According to exit polls conducted by CNN, Trump saw a 16-point shift among voters aged 18 to 29 compared to his showing in the 2020 presidential election. Voters identifying as political independents moved 15 points toward Trump. Meanwhile, Hispanics shifted 24 points in favor of the America First leader, while black men moved 31 points.
Even among demographics considered staunchly pro-Trump, the President-elect saw improvement—gaining eight points among non-college-educated voters and six points among men overall. Trump saw a four-point shift with voters earning under $50,000 annually—a group traditionally associated with casting ballots for Democrats.
The significant voter shift resulted in Trump capturing all four of the critical bellwether Pennsylvania counties: Bucks, Erie, Monroe, and Northampton. Notably, these areas also saw heavy voter turnout during early voting in the days before November 5. According to the Trump campaign’s chief data consultant, Tim Saler, the high turnout was driven largely by the campaign’s efforts to target and energize low and mid-propensity voters.
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