On Thursday, Biden will deliver his State of the Union address to what could be his largest audience before Election Day. Polling shows he will speak to a nation that isn’t just skeptical of some of his policies but questions his ability to physically do the job. Special counsel Robert Hur’s recent conclusion about Biden’s memory (an observation he has strongly disputed) has only elevated concerns about the president’s standing.
No matter what Biden has accomplished as president, he has yet to assuage Americans that he can fulfill what one of President Ronald Reagan’s biographers deemed “the role of a lifetime.” Fairly or unfairly, every flub, gaffe, and stumble is taken as further evidence of the thesis that Biden can’t perform his duties.
In this sense, Biden’s speech comes with additional pressure. Regardless of whether he addresses questions about his age directly, the topic will loom over the evening just as it has for most of his first term.
It’s an undeniable fact that fewer Americans watch the speech than a generation ago, per Nielsen’s historic ratings that go back to 1993. But even in the peak streaming era, the address remains one of the few events that tens of millions of Americans still watch live, a distinction that is almost exclusively shared with NFL football games. Usually, an incumbent president running for reelection could also bank on the fall debates. As of now, it remains unclear if a debate will happen this fall. On Wednesday, Trump distanced himself from the Republican National Committee’s previous withdrawal from the nonprofit organization that has hosted every presidential debate since 1988. Trump wrote on his social media platform that he is calling for debates “ANYTIME, ANYWHERE, ANYPLACE!”
The State of the Union is not an explicit campaign speech.
Unlike Biden, most incumbent presidents delivered their addresses far earlier in the primary calendar. After former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley’s decision to drop out of the GOP race, both primaries are now effectively over. Timing aside, presidents preparing for November have used the address to extoll their achievements and frame the broad outlines of their reelection campaigns.
God Bless You and Your Families!
Love,
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