New Poll Is GREAT News for the Trump Campaign
ccording to Rasmussen, more voters align with President Trump on the major issues facing the nation than his opponent, Joe Biden. A survey of likely voters this week showed that 40% identify with the president’s views, and 34% say Biden’s are closer to their own.
The party breakdown is also interesting and may explain the enthusiasm gap between the candidates. Seventy percent of Republicans say Trump’s views on major issues are closest to their own. Only 57% of Democrats say the same of Biden.
This result may be a reflection of the apparent fracture in the Democrat coalition between moderates and the progressive left. It would be interesting to understand where the disconnect is for the remaining 43% of Democrats. It may be that Biden has gone too far to the left for some moderates. Alternately, the Bernie Bros may think he is not progressive enough.
This outcome matched closely with voter enthusiasm for their candidate. In a recent CNN poll, 67% of Trump’s voters are voting for him, and 58% of Biden’s voters are voting against Trump, not for Joe. This imbalance is generally a troubling statistic for challengers of an incumbent. Historically, it does not turn out voters on Election Day.
The poll also shows a transition occurring in the Republican Party. The Trump agenda has challenged some typical Republican positions. The president has used tariffs as a negotiating tool frequently, reversed several foreign policy positions, and has questioned post-Cold War alliances.
These moves, along with Trump’s occasionally boorish rhetoric, have driven some establishment Republicans to leave the party or throw their support to Joe Biden. Voters seem to be adjusting to this. The number of GOP voters who think it is important for Trump to keep other elected Republicans on his side has fallen six points since July of 2018, to 50%.
BY STACEY LENNOX