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Draft Kings Election Pool: A Majority in 49 States Predict a Trump Win

A Draft Kings election pool with over 370,000 participants predicted that Trump would win the election. A majority from every state other than Colorado thinks that Donald Trump will defeat Joe Biden.

by John Hawkins | Posted: November 3, 2020

For context, the above map is based on a free Draft Kings election pool where people have to guess every key state correctly to win a prize. What this map means is that people in every single state except Colorado, on average, chose an electoral map where Trump would be the winner. It does not mean that the majority of people in California believe that Trump will win California specifically, but the election overall. The distribution of bets for each state gamblers have to correctly guess are as follows:

  1. Who will win the election? Donald Trump 59%, Joe Biden 41%
  2. Who will win Florida? Donald Trump 74%, Joe Biden 26%
  3. Who will win Arizona? Donald Trump 60%, Joe Biden 40%
  4. Who will win Pennsylvania? Joe Biden 57%, Donald Trump 43%
  5. Who will win Michigan? Joe Biden 57%, Donald Trump 43%
  6. Who will win Wisconsin? Donald Trump 57%, Joe Biden 43%
  7. Who will win North Carolina? Donald Trump 64%, Joe Biden 36%
  8. Who will win New Jersey? Joe Biden 77%, Donald Trump 23%
  9. Who will win Colorado? Joe Biden 69%, Donald Trump 31%
  10. Who will win Indiana? Donald Trump 74%, Joe Biden 26%
  11. Who will win West Virginia? Donald Trump 79%, Joe Biden 21%
  12. Who will win Iowa? Donald Trump 68%, Joe Biden 32%

Their bets cuts against the conventional wisdom amongst many political professionals (and betting oddson other sites, where Biden is a 60/40 favorite) that Biden is well ahead and on track to win. So, what’s the disconnect?

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I made my name because my hubs is a Locomotive Engineer on the Railroad for over 45  years now.  It’s funny how it fits right into the TRUMP TRAIN.  I am one of God’s many Children trying my best daily to live by God’s Word.  I have many hobbies on the computer and off the computer.  God Bless!

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2020-11-03T22:14:35+00:00
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