Pennsylvania voter-registration data shows that Republicans are gaining voters at five-times the rate of Democrats, with the November elections fast approaching.
Since the 2016 primary elections, Republicans have added at net 165,000 voters their rolls, while Democrats have added 30,000. Democrats still have a 800,000-voter lead over Republicans in the state, but that number is down from 936,000 just four years ago, when President Trump won the state by roughly 44,000 votes, or less than 1%.Pennsylvania GOP party Chairman Lawrence Tabas predicts the numbers will result in Trump again winning the state in November.
“We were already ahead 44,000, and look what we’ve picked up. I predict we’re going to narrow the gap further between now and November,” he told the Philadelphia Inquirer.
Democratic president nominee Joe Biden was born in Pennsylvania and spent his early childhood in the state. He continues to have close political ties to the state and leads Trump there by 6 percentage points, according to the RealClearPolitics.com polling average.
In addition, voter registration gains aren’t always that straightforward. Some of the new members of the GOP may be Democrats who voted for the president in 2016 officially switching parties, which would not reflect a surge of new Trump voters. Additionally, 14% of the Pennsylvania electorate are independent or third party voters.